Who has the Advantage? - LPL 3/18 2AM ET Slate (3 Games)

Reminder that cheat sheets are now on DFSArmy, as I have joined their team for esports.

LNG Esports (LNG) vs Victory Five (V5)

First thing to note is that Light is subbed in for Asura for LNG. Not a huge change in my opinion of the outcome of the match, but it is worth noting for DFS. LNG have been playing pretty well, and I expected them to be a decent team with the changes they made this offseason. They took down BLG and honestly V5 are horrible so they should win here even with a sub ADC.

V5 are just horrific. Definitely the worst team in the league as of now, with little redeeming qualities. At least on other "bad" teams like Vici and LGD, they have some decent players (iBoy, Kramer). With V5, I really got nothing. Until they show any signs of improvement, this team remains on the do not touch list for me.


Advantage to : LNG

Players to watch (LNG): Flandre, Maple. Xx

LNG aren't that expensive compared to how I imagined, since they are facing the worst team in LPL currently, viable in all formats for me. They are more likely than not to 2-0 and that makes for a good pick in DFS.

Vici Gaming (VG) vs Top Esports (TES)
 

Vici came into the season with high expectations, adding iBoy and kkOma as major additions seemed to have moved the needle for a lot of people. I was never high on them from the start. Cube is very limited as a player, and Chieftain is among the worst junglers in LPL (imo). iBoy is of course their best player, and Maestro has been pretty good, but the rest of their roster doesn't deserve the hype that many gave to them.

TES have been really inconsistent this season. They were expected to be a top team, and I thought they would be as well. The skill between 369, Karsa, and Knight is something that very few LPL teams can match. They just haven't figured it out yet. They have dropped games that no one expected them to drop, and have made many uncharacteristic mistakes. I think they are much too skilled to be regarded this low, and their price on DK comes to me at a bargain. I think they should win this series, and I want to say they will sweep. TES have the skill, they just need to put it all together, and this seems like the get right spot to me.


Advantage to: TES

I do not think this match is as close as some are making it out to be. I believe TES to be the vastly more skilled team, and have a great chance to get right tonight in a 2-0. If they like they have been, sure VG could take one or even win, but I think TES steps up to the plate tonight and gets it done. Because of the inconsistency we have seen from TES so far, it can still be worth to fire on VG in GPPs if you so choose.
 

Players to Watch (TES): Knight, Karsa, 369
Players to watch (VG): iBoy, Zeka, Maestro 

JD Gaming (JDG) vs Bilibili Gaming (BLG)
 

Big news for this game is that ADD is returning to the lineup for BLG. He is a very different player than Kingen, and while he's not exactly better per say, he may be what BLG needed to right the ship. ADD will bring a new champion pool and new strategy to BLG, and I am all for that. This could really be a trap game for JDG. ADD is not an unknown player and has lots of experience with this team.

JDG came off a rather close series against VG, they seemed to always be falling behind and played themselves into tough positions, but also were able to will their way out each time. I wouldn't say this is exactly a great thing, but I expected a bit more from JDG last series. 

One of the keys to success for BLG is Meteor, looks like one of the best junglers in LPL on some days, and one of the worst on others. Similar to beishang for WE, Meteor is the cog in the engine for BLG. He makes the whole team run. If JDG are able to focus on Meteor and nullify his strengths, they should be set to win.


Advantage to: JDG

While I think BLG have a very good chance to push this to 3 and take the series, JDG are still the better team. In terms of just "Who is going to win?" I would still pick JDG. The pricing on DK however is very polarizing compared to how close this game should be. BLG are extremely cheap and are a fantastic GPP option. They can be paired with pretty much anyone you want and gives good flexibility to the roster. JDG should win and should be favoured here, but their pricing on DK can lead to tougher builds.
 

Players to Watch (JDG): Loken, Kanavi, Yagao
Players to watch (BLG): Meteor, Fofo, ADD

Much more fun slate than last night, with a couple interesting plays from most games. It will be fun to watch for sure, and fun to make lineups for. Good luck tonight.

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